Meta’s long-running fight with Europe just reached its most expensive chapter. EU regulators have warned that Facebook and Instagram could face daily penalties of up to 5 percent of Meta’s global turnover—roughly US $18 million every 24 hours—if the company fails to overhaul its controversial “pay-or-consent” advertising model by 27 June.
Last November Meta rolled out a two-tier system for EU users: continue using the platforms free of charge and consent to data-tracking for personalised ads, or pay about €9.99 a month for an ad-free experience. Brussels says that binary choice still violates the Digital Markets Act (DMA)—the sweeping rulebook that forces so-called “gatekeepers” to give Europeans real control over their data. In April the European Commission fined Meta €200 million and demanded structural changes; Meta’s follow-up tweaks, revealed in May, were deemed “limited,” prompting this fresh ultimatum. Continuous non-compliance, the Commission warned, will activate rolling fines from 27 June onward.
Under GDPR, regulators can levy up to 4 percent of annual revenue, but cases drag on for years. The DMA moves faster and hits harder on a daily basis, making the risk immediate and compounding. At Meta’s 2024 revenue run-rate, each day of fines could erase the profit generated by about 50 million Instagram ad impressions. That financial ticking clock is designed to stop Big Tech from treating penalties as a cost of doing business. Compliance teams from Seattle to Silicon Valley are now studying Meta’s predicament as a template for how the DMA will be enforced on Alphabet, Apple, Amazon and TikTok.
Regulators argue that true consent means a choice free of coercion. If the ad-free tier is priced so high that most users feel forced into tracking, the offer fails the test. Early surveys show fewer than four percent of EU Instagram users have opted to pay, bolstering Brussels’ view that the model is a de-facto paywall on privacy. Meta insists it is merely following case law that allows subscription alternatives and says the EU is unfairly “moving the goalposts.”
Why the world is watching
United States & UK: Washington antitrust hawks and the UK’s Competition and Markets Authority both consider similar “pay-with-privacy” debates. A harsh EU precedent could energise regulators on both sides of the Atlantic.
Germany & Norway: Berlin and Oslo have some of Europe’s most privacy-conscious consumers; a cheaper, truly anonymous tier could ripple into local ad markets already hit by Google’s phase-out of third-party cookies.
Nigeria and emerging markets: While the DMA applies only inside the EU, global platforms rarely run region-specific code bases forever. If Meta redesigns consent flows for Europe, the same UX may land in Lagos, Nairobi and Jakarta—raising the bar on data transparency worldwide.
Meta has until 27 June to convince Brussels that its revised offer—rumoured to include a lower ad-free price and granular opt-outs for sensitive data—meets the DMA’s fairness bar. Should talks stall, daily fines begin and the Commission could ultimately force product unbundling or even a temporary service suspension.
For now, every major ad-supported app is calculating what 5 percent of daily revenue looks like—and wondering if Meta’s payment clock will start ticking first.
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