In an unexpected turn of events, Snap, the parent company of popular social media app Snapchat, has experienced a staggering plunge in its stock value. Despite a healthy broader market, the social media giant’s shares dropped to a disheartening low of $12.52 per share, sparking concern among investors and market watchers. This tumble came amid projections sometime in March, indicating a significant loss of up to $2 billion, while pessimistic forecasts predicted a drastic $3 billion plunge or even more.
In the midst of Snap’s downturn, its fiercest competitor, Instagram, reveled in success as it was reported that users below the age of 25 spend an impressive average of more than 32 minutes daily on the app. This is an alarming figure, given Snapchat’s attempt to target the same age demographic, which is largely believed to be a driving force in social media engagement.
Snap, in its reports, stated that “users younger than 25 visited Snapchat over 20 times and spent over 30 minutes on average on the app daily”. While the figures may seem promising, the underlying competition with Instagram is a crucial concern, particularly during this precarious time for Snap’s stock.
An additional factor contributing to Snap’s current predicament relates to the impending expiration of the company’s lock-up period. This development allows early investors to saturate the market with their shares. Analysts often anticipate a fall in share prices during this period as investors keenly observe whether top executives will offload their holdings. This was stated by Jim Strugger, a derivatives strategist at MKM.
Furthermore, some analysts are pinning Snap’s bleak financial outlook on the relentless rivalry from Facebook. They argue that the social media titan has imitated several of Snap’s unique features, thereby undermining its market standing. In context, Snap gained a meager 8 million new users relative to Facebook’s staggering 59 million, within the same period, as revealed in the May report.
However, all hope is not lost for Snap. The upcoming quarterly earnings report presents an opportunity for the company to disprove skeptic investor sentiments. As the report is set to become public later this month, Wall Street pundits and analysts will closely monitor for signs of accelerated user growth, irrespective of Instagram’s increasing user engagement.
RBC Capital Markets analyst Mark Mahaney expressed his concern regarding the head-to-head competition with Instagram, stating, “Competition is the single biggest risk for Snap”. However, he remains somewhat optimistic about Snap’s innovation, saying, “it’s very unpredictable. But we do appreciate the ongoing innovations we’re seeing in Snapchat. Snap Maps, for instance, was one of the more exciting features we’ve seen in the social networking space for some time. They need to carry on this innovation, and so far, this team appears to have a good track record; the stock should rebound.”
This article was updated in 2025 to reflect modern realities.
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